{
  "version": "0.1",
  "id": "friendship-bench-zimbabwe",
  "name": "Depression relief with Friendship Bench Zimbabwe",
  "checkedOn": "2026-10-12",
  "checkedTimezone": "UTC",
  "evidenceStatus": "exploratory",
  "costBasis": "USD received for Friendship Bench Zimbabwe work, provisionally mapped to future care using a broad allowance per client. Not a verified marginal cost, an earmarked treatment purchase or an estimate for the global organization.",
  "sourceFacts": {
    "trialYearPublished": 2016,
    "trialRandomizedParticipants": 573,
    "trialClinics": 24,
    "depressionThresholdControl": 0.499,
    "depressionThresholdIntervention": 0.137,
    "thresholdMeaning": "PHQ-9 at least 11 at six months; secondary screening outcome in adults initially screening positive for common mental disorders. Not a confirmed diagnosis or direct suffering measurement.",
    "fixedAnnualCostUSD": 170419,
    "variableCostPerClientUSD": 3.37,
    "annualClients2020": 12364,
    "costPriceYear": 2019,
    "costPerspective": "Historical payer cost across program and city health resources; annualized scale-up, infrastructure, screening and treatment. Includes modeled and anticipated inputs.",
    "laterRuralTrialParticipants": 516,
    "laterRuralTrialFinding": "Greater SSQ-14 improvement at months 3, 6 and 9, but not 12; no difference in PHQ-9 score changes at measured follow-ups.",
    "annual2025MonitoringEnrolled": 13864,
    "annual2025MonitoringCompleteClinicalData": 3009,
    "annual2025MonitoringHasConcurrentControl": false,
    "reportedClientsQ12026": 88436
  },
  "sharedAssumptions": {
    "referenceIntensityHours": 47.25,
    "intensityExponent": 1,
    "creditedDays": 90,
    "creditedWindow": "Assumed days 91 through 180 after starting care. A six-month endpoint does not establish 90 days of continuous relief. Earlier and later benefits are unestimated.",
    "endpointProxyBasis": "Treat the scaled between-group difference in depression-screening status as additional improved-outcome equivalents. This is a WSI bridge to a relief scenario, not an observed count of durable recoveries or a validated USU mapping.",
    "deliveryBasis": "Share of spending assumed to translate into additional adult care resembling the reference population. Combines age and setting eligibility, allocation and whether care would happen anyway. Not a measured program share.",
    "effectBasis": "Retain only a selected fraction of the old urban trial difference to allow for fewer sessions, changed delivery and mixed evidence across settings. This factor is distinct from whether a donation brings additional eligible care.",
    "intensityBasis": "One average reduction in psychological suffering across the credited hours, including sleep and periods of relief. WSI judgment; no conversion from PHQ-9, SSQ-14, DALYs or WELLBYs."
  },
  "scenarios": {
    "lower": {
      "label": "No added effect",
      "costPerClientUSD": 50,
      "additionalEligibleCareShare": 0.5,
      "trialEffectRetained": 0,
      "averageIntensityReduction": 1
    },
    "central": {
      "label": "Central",
      "costPerClientUSD": 50,
      "additionalEligibleCareShare": 0.5,
      "trialEffectRetained": 0.5,
      "averageIntensityReduction": 1
    },
    "higher": {
      "label": "Higher",
      "costPerClientUSD": 25,
      "additionalEligibleCareShare": 0.75,
      "trialEffectRetained": 0.75,
      "averageIntensityReduction": 2
    }
  },
  "fundingSnapshot": {
    "status": "donation_page_available_gap_unverified",
    "checkedOn": "2026-10-12",
    "remainingFundingGapUSD": null,
    "verifiedMarginalCostUSD": null,
    "confirmedAllocation": null,
    "basis": "Official Zimbabwe donation page and Q1 2026 activity report. Public activity and solicitation do not establish current unmet budget, next allocation or additional treatments.",
    "recheckDue": "2026-11-11"
  },
  "donationURL": "https://www.friendshipbenchzimbabwe.org/donate",
  "sources": [
    {
      "id": "B1",
      "title": "Chibanda et al. (2016): randomized trial in Harare",
      "url": "https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/28027368/",
      "doi": "10.1001/jama.2016.19102",
      "locator": "Abstract: six-month PHQ-9 threshold proportions, 13.7% versus 49.9%",
      "role": "Historical trial reference; reported absolute proportions, not an adjusted absolute effect",
      "checkedOn": "2026-10-12"
    },
    {
      "id": "B2",
      "title": "Healey et al. (2022): economic analysis of Friendship Bench scale-up",
      "url": "https://doi.org/10.1136/ebmental-2021-300317",
      "publicCopyURL": "https://prevention-collaborative.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/Economic-threshold-analysis-of-delivering-a-tasksharing-treatment-for-common-mental-disorders.pdf",
      "locator": "Table 2, printed page 51; payer perspective and 2019 USD in methods",
      "role": "Historical cost context, not a current marginal donation price",
      "checkedOn": "2026-10-12"
    },
    {
      "id": "B3",
      "title": "Haas et al. (2023): randomized trial in rural Zimbabwe",
      "url": "https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/37440230/",
      "doi": "10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.23205",
      "locator": "Abstract: SSQ-14 and PHQ-9 results at 3, 6, 9 and 12 months",
      "role": "Evidence that results differ across populations and outcomes",
      "checkedOn": "2026-10-12"
    },
    {
      "id": "B4",
      "title": "Friendship Bench Zimbabwe: 2025 annual report",
      "url": "https://drive.google.com/file/d/1jcoxqvNNTnkIsByD-dSK-u0gnaQzUYCQ/view",
      "locator": "Printed pages 12-13: follow-up cohort and limitations; not the current USU effect input",
      "role": "Recent monitoring, with incomplete follow-up and no concurrent comparison group",
      "checkedOn": "2026-10-12"
    },
    {
      "id": "B5",
      "title": "Friendship Bench Zimbabwe: Q1 2026 impact report",
      "url": "https://drive.google.com/file/d/1LzxwolHr_aaM9F7-X-uzb20bYUlmi4jJ/view",
      "locator": "Printed page 9: clients seen; page 17: funding invitation",
      "role": "Current operations and request for support, not verified remaining need",
      "checkedOn": "2026-10-12"
    },
    {
      "id": "B6",
      "title": "Friendship Bench Zimbabwe: evolution of the program",
      "url": "https://www.friendshipbenchzimbabwe.org/post/the-evolution-of-friendship-bench-two-decades-of-community-led-mental-health-care-in-zimbabwe",
      "role": "Transition toward government delivery and technical assistance; broader populations",
      "checkedOn": "2026-10-12"
    },
    {
      "id": "B7",
      "title": "Happier Lives Institute (2025): mid-year charity update",
      "url": "https://www.happierlivesinstitute.org/report/2025-mid-year-charities-update-hlis-first-mid-year-charities-update-and-how-were-changing-the-way-we-keep-donors-informed/",
      "locator": "Friendship Bench section: historical routine attendance averaging 1.12 of 6 possible sessions",
      "role": "Evaluator's original implementation analysis; not assumed to measure 2026 attendance",
      "checkedOn": "2026-10-12"
    }
  ],
  "interpretation": "Exploratory gross psychological relief over an assumed 90 days. Costs, additional delivery, transfer of trial results, duration and intensity are WSI choices. A screening threshold is not a direct suffering measure. Scenarios are not confidence bounds or a ranking. Actual additional benefit can be zero; treatment harms and deaths prevented are unestimated. General donation allocation to matching Zimbabwe adult care is not verified.",
  "exclusions": [
    "benefits in the first 90 days or after day 180",
    "adolescent and non-Zimbabwe benefits",
    "benefits outside the selected depression-screening proxy",
    "treatment harms",
    "suicides or other deaths prevented",
    "physical illness outcomes",
    "caregiver and income effects",
    "bereavement add-ons"
  ],
  "calculation": {
    "modelVersion": "0.1",
    "checkedOn": "2026-10-12",
    "budgetUSD": 1000,
    "costBasis": "USD received for Friendship Bench Zimbabwe work, provisionally mapped to future care using a broad allowance per client. Not a verified marginal cost, an earmarked treatment purchase or an estimate for the global organization.",
    "referenceAbsoluteDifference": 0.362,
    "historicalPayerCostPerClientUSD": 17.15348430928502,
    "sharedAssumptions": {
      "referenceIntensityHours": 47.25,
      "intensityExponent": 1,
      "creditedDays": 90,
      "creditedWindow": "Assumed days 91 through 180 after starting care. A six-month endpoint does not establish 90 days of continuous relief. Earlier and later benefits are unestimated.",
      "endpointProxyBasis": "Treat the scaled between-group difference in depression-screening status as additional improved-outcome equivalents. This is a WSI bridge to a relief scenario, not an observed count of durable recoveries or a validated USU mapping.",
      "deliveryBasis": "Share of spending assumed to translate into additional adult care resembling the reference population. Combines age and setting eligibility, allocation and whether care would happen anyway. Not a measured program share.",
      "effectBasis": "Retain only a selected fraction of the old urban trial difference to allow for fewer sessions, changed delivery and mixed evidence across settings. This factor is distinct from whether a donation brings additional eligible care.",
      "intensityBasis": "One average reduction in psychological suffering across the credited hours, including sleep and periods of relief. WSI judgment; no conversion from PHQ-9, SSQ-14, DALYs or WELLBYs."
    },
    "scenarios": {
      "lower": {
        "label": "No added effect",
        "costPerClientUSD": 50,
        "additionalEligibleCareShare": 0.5,
        "trialEffectRetained": 0,
        "averageIntensityReduction": 1,
        "supportedClientEquivalents": 20.0,
        "additionalEligibleClients": 10.0,
        "additionalImprovedOutcomes": 0.0,
        "reliefDays": 0.0,
        "usuAverted": 0.0,
        "directDeathsPrevented": null
      },
      "central": {
        "label": "Central",
        "costPerClientUSD": 50,
        "additionalEligibleCareShare": 0.5,
        "trialEffectRetained": 0.5,
        "averageIntensityReduction": 1,
        "supportedClientEquivalents": 20.0,
        "additionalEligibleClients": 10.0,
        "additionalImprovedOutcomes": 1.81,
        "reliefDays": 162.9,
        "usuAverted": 82.74285714285715,
        "directDeathsPrevented": null
      },
      "higher": {
        "label": "Higher",
        "costPerClientUSD": 25,
        "additionalEligibleCareShare": 0.75,
        "trialEffectRetained": 0.75,
        "averageIntensityReduction": 2,
        "supportedClientEquivalents": 40.0,
        "additionalEligibleClients": 30.0,
        "additionalImprovedOutcomes": 8.145,
        "reliefDays": 733.05,
        "usuAverted": 744.6857142857142,
        "directDeathsPrevented": null
      }
    },
    "interpretation": "Exploratory gross psychological relief over an assumed 90 days. Costs, additional delivery, transfer of trial results, duration and intensity are WSI choices. A screening threshold is not a direct suffering measure. Scenarios are not confidence bounds or a ranking. Actual additional benefit can be zero; treatment harms and deaths prevented are unestimated. General donation allocation to matching Zimbabwe adult care is not verified."
  }
}
